Safe Currency Haven in the North? Where Forex is going….
The Norwegian Crown is only partly the Holy Grail for new flight-capital.
The “safe haven ” for investors has been swamped this last week: with the SwissFranc coupled to the Euro (which de facto is a devaluation of SFR) – the Swiss National Bank has actually made people who have loans in SFR happy, but people from the EURO-coutries who have taken SFR-loans, hold SFR accounts or shares valued in SFR are having a long face right now- as they have suffered considerable losses.
Personally, I don’t waste my feelings on such people as mentioned above after I learnt lately, that Greek millionaires hord as much money in Switzerland as the Greek economy produces in 1 year in GDP(Gross Domestic Product). And I bet my nestegg they never paid a penny of tax on that money either. I’m not exactly a socialist – but I fully understand the Greek population being fedup with their corrupt political leaders and that they are wishing ALL OF THEM to HELL – because they have driven the country’s finances against the wall. Corruption is and has been paramount – and to such a degree (since we all know that a certain amount of curruption exists everywhere) – that the Greek state is bankrupt. All in all we must see that a small country like Greece does not count very much in the European Communion as a whole. 6 million inhabitants – and a country that NEVER produced anything worth mentioning – except a nice environment for tourists – and even that has stopped now – with all the strikes happening – who wants to go there anymore? When president Obama says on TV “Europe should get their act together” he forgets, that in his own country – p.e. California (much larger + much more populated) is in much deeper debt than Greece – therefore the status much more severe – should actually sweep in front of his own doorstep. But he’s already campaigning for his next selection – so we in Europe – forgive him. We forgive him also for saying “he and his country will HELP” – although we all know these are empty words – Congress gives him no power and no money to help Europe in any way. And we don’t NEED him …the European Union and the Euro Zone is TOO BIG TO FAIL – therefore – it will get help from all over the place – including Chienese investors and South American, RUSSIAN AND African investors – all of them will make big bucks buying up European funds, OR shares of strong European companies. What’s happening now is just a storm in a water glass. European companies are strong and sound – and worth investing in. China will now buy Saab – the Swedisch ailing car company – because they want the TECHNOLOGY – and it will go on and on. China needs the European Union as a market – and Russia also needs it – we buy 80% of their gas and oil, plus a lot of other raw materials, and we pay the best prices for them- and there’s a LOT OF SPARE MONEY IN RUSSIA –and a lot of that spare money (inofficially) rests here in Europe- in EUROS!

There should be a clear line in the thinking – SOME European states are contaminated with the flue (and they are all in the South) – but in GENERAL- it’s NOT the companies that are sick, but the STATES = governments overspend and politics gone financially overboard with social spending (to buy voters) and unable to drive back and actually get their act together. So – to most of us here – we THINK that the crisis is actually a GOOD thing: even old Berluscony and others will have a GOOD POLITICAL EXCUSE NOW (because he obeys the dictates of the european Parliament) to draw back on public spending – and although he will not be alive much longer as a politician – ther person (government) replacing him will have no choice but to follow the “unpopular” course of social overspending. Other Southern governments will have a GOOD EXCUSE to follow suite = to change legislation in a way – that social overspending is driven back. And any North-European will tell you – that corruption is still hot in all Southern states of Europe – and maybe the HOTBED of the germ in general. And maybe the scenario will play – once we catapult Greece out of the EURO – we will look at matters more clearly – and chuck out the other Southern countries as well — give them another couple of DECADES to get their national act together – and once they are more ACCEPTABLE – let them once agin join the TEA PARTY of the EURO…but the EURO will not die- 6 big countries at least will stick to it – and THEY ARE STRONG- and their currency will even become stronger – and as such again a SAFE HEAVEN! What we all forget is: China as well as Russia and Africa as well as South America are looking for an alternative currency to the US$ – they want to distance themselves from the USA and the Dollar. They know that the Dollar has a rather short shelf life.
If the Swiss National Bank manages to hold it’s course, then- of course – the SFR will sail exactly a parallel course in future as the Euro. Which – let’s face it, is NOT ideal for those, who have considered up to now the SFR as their “safe haven”, because they don’t trust the Euro any longer since it’s playing the main role in the Greek tragedy.
So off they go in search of another “save haven” in the currency chaos, and apparently the Norwegian Crown is THE place they have found – it’s rising like hell- or rather – into heaven. And in fact the land of the Wickingers presents itself as such: a small – highly developed economy just like Switzerland, their budget is perfectly in order and has high reserves, which are parked in state oil-funds. A New Switzerland – so to speak.
However, those who think they must convert their SFR-loans into Norwegian Crown loans right now and count on long-term profits will – motst likely – be disappointed, as it’s a risky step at best. You simply cannot count on a very hard Crown for any length of time, even Norway will have to make interventions and pull the emergency break before their currency becomes too hard. They simply will HAVE TO enter into the golbal devaluation run of currencies – as no exporting economy can withstand the global competition and pressure for ever. Even though Norwegian politicians are presently still denying that they plan to do anything like this – who believes politicians?
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If not – take a look at their website anyway – to see the live performance of their system —who know – they might open the program once again at some later stage, and you need not hesitate THEN – just jump in next time!
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